World No. 2 Sabalenka enters this clash fresh off a commanding 6-3, 6-3 victory over Spain’s Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. The Belarusian powerhouse showcased her trademark aggressive baseline game, firing 25 winners while maintaining strong first serve dominance (72% points won).
Sabalenka vs Rybakina Cincinnati 2025: Rybakina arrives equally confident after dismantling Danielle Collins in straight sets. The Kazakh star has been serving lights out this season, leading the WTA with over 300 aces – a weapon that could prove decisive against Sabalenka’s return game.

Head-to-Head: Sabalenka Leads 5-3
Their rivalry has produced some of 2023-24’s most memorable matches:
Tournament | Surface | Winner | Scoreline |
---|---|---|---|
2023 Australian Open | Hard | Sabalenka | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
2023 Indian Wells | Hard | Rybakina | 7-6(11), 6-4 |
2024 Madrid Open | Clay | Rybakina | 1-6, 7-5, 7-6(5) |
While Sabalenka holds the overall edge, Rybakina has won two of their last three encounters – including their dramatic Madrid semifinal that featured 32 combined aces.
Key Matchup Factors
- Serve Battle: Rybakina’s WTA-leading serve vs Sabalenka’s improved returns
- Mental Edge: Both have won Grand Slams, but Sabalenka’s 2023 Cincy title experience
- Conditions: Fast Cincinnati hard courts favor big servers
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How to Watch
- Date: August 16, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM EST (Prime Time)
- TV: Tennis Channel (US), Sky Sports (UK)
- Streaming: ESPN+, WTA TV
Sabalenka vs Rybakina Cincinnati 2025 Prediction: This has all the makings of a classic. While Rybakina’s serve is deadly, Sabalenka’s ability to dictate play gives her a slight edge in what should be a three-set thriller.
Don’t miss this US Open preview between two players who could very well meet again in Flushing Meadows! πΎπ₯